Did time just stop? For some of us, perhaps. I’m speaking, of course, about yesterday’s announcement from Delta Air Lines about changes to its SkyMiles program coming in 2015. I can’t say I’m surprised. You might remember a couple of pieces from me revolving around the idea that the dog is finally starting to wag the tail, and not the other way around. Whenever I hear that airline frequent flyer programs are profitable on their own, a fact that is no doubt true to a point, I’m reminded of a saying we used to have during my airline manager days when we were under the hammer to cut costs – Think about how much money we could save if we just stopped flying airplanes.
It was easy to become addicted to an industry living “paycheck to paycheck” with a short term focus. In the end, we wound up with too many miles chasing too few seats. Capacity discipline and managing real businesses for real profit have brought us here. However, we didn’t create the system, the airlines did, and they own part of the blame for where we are. That said, things were bound to change, and now they have.
While I’m not surprised Delta moved forward with the inevitable, in truth, I have no idea if the program they introduced on Wednesday is exactly where things are headed. Will this spread to the remaining big airlines? Ultimately, I think the answer to that is yes though there is room for each airline to put its own stamp on things. Southwest, which carries more domestic passengers than any other airline by the way, made the move and last time I checked they still had customers. I think it’s not a matter of if, but when the others move forward with some level of change.
Without a doubt, this was a big move by Delta. Risky? Indeed. Only time will tell if it works. Here’s a question for you? With a move this big, how would you undo it if you wanted to? No matter what airline you fly, it is not likely that your loyalty program remains untouched forever by Delta’s latest move. Maybe that was the point.
-MJ, February 27, 2014
@Tom- Delta’s website states that miles will carry over without change (subject to the new award chart, of course), and that medallion qualification stays the same, and that there’s no change to the Amex credit card miles program.
To undo this, I’d allow for a choice in how you earn miles. If customers could decide to either earn miles based on distance OR ticket price, it allows Delta to entice those high-price business travelers without completely aggravating the other 96% of their customers.
It seems to me — unless I missed something(s) — that we still don’t know very much, certainly not enough to know how this will really impact us, or how to strategize.
For instance:
We don’t know what the award chart will be.
We don’t know how old miles will be translated into the new system.
We don’t know what is required to attain elite benefits.
We don’t know how credit card miles will transfer.
We don’t even know if Million Miler status will remain, as there are no more miles.
Until those questions are answered, we have almost no guidance in how to move forward. Because of that, for this year at least, I am even more disincentivized (if that’s a word) to fly Delta, or to get/use any of their branded credit cards.
I’ve already decided I will take a one-stop itinerary (which I hate doing) on another carrier, rather than flying DL non-stop to Detroit, next month.
And on the rt I fly weekly, I’ve long been choosing AA or B6, rather than DL, specifically because of SkyMiles’ poor availability and value (my million miler status on DL was reached before the current poor value SkyMiles program came into being.)
To be clear, a frequent flyer program alone isn’t enough to get me on a plane (I am so frustrated with United’s service — on the phone and on the plane — that I’ve decided they’re just not worth it, so I’ve moved to LH and SQ for my Star Alliance flying/credits.)
I like Delta’s in-flight product, and would like to fly them more. but they have to make it worth my while.
It will be interesting to see what it looks like on the redemption side. While the one ways will be nice, I’m skeptical on the “tiers”.
If it’s anything like American or United, only the lowest tier will be worth redeeming at, and it will depend on how many seats are available at that tier